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Sharpely TOS

Equity · Stocks · Started Apr 2025

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
16.4%
Max Drawdown
20.8%
Trades
401
Win Trades
49.6%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
52.6%
Subscribe $79/mo

About this strategy

SHARPELY TOS — SYSTEMATIC STOCK ENGINE
Sharpely is a live, TOS-certified systematic stock strategy traded with my own capital through BrokerTransmit.

Historical equity, including pre-C2 performance and current results:
http://tiny.cc/gxf4101

WHY SHARPELY?
Most strategies rely on one market behavior. Sharpely combines multiple independent stock systems within one portfolio designed for long-term compounding.

This is not a passive buy-and-hold portfolio. The strategy blends momentum and mean-reversion systems across different holding periods, all managed within a single portfolio-level risk framework.

The objective is simple:
• capture upside when opportunities are favorable
• reduce exposure when market conditions weaken
• manage risk across the entire portfolio
• compound capital through disciplined execution

Every trade is rule-based. There are no discretionary overrides, no martingale, no averaging down, and no emotional position management.
Position sizing is volatility-aware. Lower-volatility systems can receive more capital, while higher-volatility systems are sized more conservatively.
Exposure can expand when market conditions improve and naturally contract when risk increases.

WHAT MAKES IT DIFFERENT?
• TOS certified and traded with my own capital
• multiple independent equity systems
• fully systematic execution
• dynamic exposure across market regimes
• portfolio-level risk management
• designed to reduce dependence on a single market environment

For the most consistent replication, AutoTrade is recommended and current positions should generally be followed as part of the complete portfolio.

Attack when conditions are favorable.
Step back when risk increases.
Let the process compound.

Momentum Short-term Reversal

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-0.3-0.4-2.8-1.8-0.84.11.45.61.86.6
20268.912.91.33.63.83.9-1.1-4.5-6.7-3.418.3

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/23/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$5,000
Age18 months
C2 Rank317
What it tradesStocks
# Trades401
# Profitable199
% Profitable49.6%
Avg trade duration22.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown20.8%
drawdown periodJuly 24, 2026 - Oct 19, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)16.4%
Avg win$164
Avg loss$121

Ratios

W:L ratio1.37
Sharpe Ratio0.74
Sortino Ratio1.05
Calmar Ratio1.31

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.34
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life43.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-17.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)16.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)22.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity20.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.2%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss26.0%
Chance of 20% account loss5.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)409
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)932
C2 Score317
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)846

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187230
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$121
Avg Win$164
# Winners199
Sum Trade PL (losers)$24,413
Sum Trade PL (winners)$32,654
Num Months Winners11
# Losers202
% Winners49.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct836

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table19

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)32304.98
Avg Position Time (hrs)538.42
Avg Trade Length22.40
Last Trade Ago0

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.14
Daily leverage (max)3.43

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0.47
Treynor Index0.09

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades158.93
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.91
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.56
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.62
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.03

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.22
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.45
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.38
df16
t1.73
p0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.15
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.10
Sortino ratio3.56
Upside Potential Ratio5.19
Upside part of mean0.33
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms7
N of observations17
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance-0.00
r-0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.17
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error15
t(b)-0.51
p(b)0.58
t(a)1.71
p(a)0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.60
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.32
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
Mean0.21
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.40
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.34
df16
t1.67
p0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.37
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.05
Sortino ratio3.28
Upside Potential Ratio4.89
Upside part of mean0.32
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms7
N of observations17
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance-0.00
r-0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.17
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.25
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error15
t(b)-0.50
p(b)0.58
t(a)1.66
p(a)0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.57
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.28
Jensen alpha (a)0.25
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.20
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.21
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.21
df378
t1.46
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.84
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.42
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.84
Sortino ratio1.79
Upside Potential Ratio9.01
Upside part of mean1.01
Downside part of mean-0.81
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms189
N negative terms190
N of observations379
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.20
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.34
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.45
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.10
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error377
t(b)7.06
p(b)0
t(a)0.75
p(a)0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.35
Treynor index (mean / b)0.44
Jensen alpha (a)0.10
Mean0.19
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.12
df378
t1.35
p0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.76
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.75
Sortino ratio1.64
Upside Potential Ratio8.79
Upside part of mean1.00
Downside part of mean-0.81
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms189
N negative terms190
N of observations379
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.34
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.45
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error377
t(b)7.08
p(b)0
t(a)0.66
p(a)0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.34
Treynor index (mean / b)0.41
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.00
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.00
df130
t0.00
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.77
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.77
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.77
Sortino ratio0.00
Upside Potential Ratio7.38
Upside part of mean1.19
Downside part of mean-1.19
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms70
N negative terms61
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.00
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.01
r0.33
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.58
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.10
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)4.02
p(b)0.29
t(a)-0.34
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.46
Treynor index (mean / b)0.00
Jensen alpha (a)-0.10
Mean-0.02
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.10
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.10
df130
t-0.07
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.67
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.87
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.67
Sortino ratio-0.13
Upside Potential Ratio7.18
Upside part of mean1.18
Downside part of mean-1.20
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms70
N negative terms61
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.01
r0.34
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.59
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)4.05
p(b)0.29
t(a)-0.40
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.45
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.04
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations17
Minimum0.94
Quartile 10.99
Median1.02
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.11
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.08
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.09
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.27
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations379
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low8
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high13
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.18
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.93
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.18
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.29
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.05
Median0.06
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations33
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high0.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.35
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.44
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.09
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.64
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.26
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.18
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-972067840
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)87
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative1.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.28
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.27
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.94
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.94
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.90
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.25
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.24
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.31
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.84
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal11.83
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.03
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.08
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.22

Trading record

Placed 784 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
DXCM long11Oct 22, 2026Oct 29, 2026$26
DINO long49Oct 28, 2026Oct 29, 2026$234
MRNA long28Oct 23, 2026Oct 27, 2026$455
CORT long52Oct 23, 2026Oct 26, 2026($740)
PG long24Aug 31, 2026Oct 22, 2026$528
SNA long17Sep 28, 2026Oct 22, 2026($605)
BE long31Oct 15, 2026Oct 19, 2026$272
FORM long56Oct 13, 2026Oct 19, 2026($642)
ALAB long4Oct 13, 2026Oct 19, 2026($10)
CRDO long36Oct 13, 2026Oct 19, 2026($371)
LRCX long9Oct 7, 2026Oct 19, 2026($437)
VICR long34Oct 16, 2026Oct 19, 2026($17)
MRVL long5Oct 15, 2026Oct 19, 2026$51
FLEX long65Oct 14, 2026Oct 19, 2026($751)
VIAV long175Oct 13, 2026Oct 19, 2026($744)
NBIS long13Oct 8, 2026Oct 19, 2026($627)
MCHP long38Oct 8, 2026Oct 15, 2026($103)
BMNR long294Oct 8, 2026Oct 9, 2026$339
RGEN long41Oct 7, 2026Oct 9, 2026$11
BRKR long119Oct 7, 2026Oct 9, 2026$167
TER long7Oct 7, 2026Oct 9, 2026($22)
MPWR long2Oct 8, 2026Oct 9, 2026$40
TEAM long40Sep 29, 2026Sep 30, 2026$466
ALM long424Sep 11, 2026Sep 15, 2026($161)
PATH long912Sep 8, 2026Sep 9, 2026($182)
AXON long12Sep 1, 2026Sep 3, 2026($247)
CRDO long34Sep 2, 2026Sep 3, 2026($688)
AUGO long83Aug 31, 2026Sep 2, 2026$267
P long70Aug 28, 2026Aug 31, 2026$18
ZM long69Aug 26, 2026Aug 27, 2026($29)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.